The National Chemical Residues Monitoring Program (NCRMP) is prioritized on the basis of estimated risk. As such, food items consumed in greater quantities by Canadians, those that are more contaminated or those, which are contaminated with more toxic components, are sampled and tested to the greatest extent. The general priorities lead to a well defined sampling schedule which identifies to CFIA operations staff the time and place that a sample is to be taken and the accredited laboratory which is to receive the sample and test it.
Although the monitoring program is not designed to provide highly accurate statistical estimates of the violative percentages of a population, such estimates are conveniently made available as auxiliary information. For example, if no violative samples are detected in a sample of 300 units it is convenient to infer with 95% confidence that the violative rate in the population falls at something less than 1.00%. Although precision becomes rapidly attenuated with smaller sample sizes, useful information can still be obtained from such sampling. Smaller annual samples must be carried out for longer periods before significant inferences can be drawn from the data.
When initial monitoring indicates that a contaminant in a given food commodity presents a potential risk, sampling plans may be adjusted, but only to the point that such effort will aid in the understanding of the problem or facilitate regulatory control. Such increased sampling may permit a study of trends, geographical variation and seasonal prevalence and thereby aid in the design of effective control strategies. Merely increasing the sample size without a strategy, that addresses the benefits of such an increase, is of little value. Once the monitoring program has identified a potential problem, an effective control strategy would not depend on increased rate of monitoring but rather on the implementation of effective directed sampling and compliance activities.
The Canadian program has four purposes:
For inclusion, there must be a potential for the chemical, be it a veterinary drug, agricultural chemical or environmental pollutant to leave a residue in food. After testing programs have been in place for a minimum of three years the accumulated data is evaluated to determine if the continuation of the sampling and testing program is still warranted. Programs may be temporarily discontinued if the test results show no positive residue finding in three consecutive years of at least 300 test samples. Thus after an initial monitoring phase of three consecutive years, if a statistically valid sample size indicates no residue findings, then the annual program may be discontinued until there is a change in usage, tolerance or analytical sensitivity which would warrant re-institution the analysis.
In consideration of available resources, the residues for which monitoring will be instituted must always be prioritized. It is the model used throughout. The process assures that resources are allocated to higher priority items. Some lower ranking compounds will be included periodically or if they form part of a multiple residue test.
The CFIA NCRMP selects test areas from an extensive list of potential chemical contaminants, including but not limited to, veterinary drugs (both approved and not approved), agricultural chemicals (approved and not approved), toxic metals & elements, chlorinated p-dibenzo-dioxins & furans and other environmental pollutants. From this list the CFIA attempts to allocate its testing and inspection resources to the items of greatest potential health risks. To achieve this a two-fold calculation is used.
The first, which is applicable to new program areas or those program areas, which have only limited historic testing data available, employs the CES system. In this case risk is estimated on a scale of A-1 to D-4 where the letter designation refers to the health hazard identified from the toxicity testing on animals. This information is available in the scientific literature. The second element, the numeric designation refers to the estimated level of exposure of the population to the specific contaminant in question. This exposure is usually available from the literature, from Health Canada or from international organizations such as the Joint (FAO/WHO) Expert Committee on Food Additives (JECFA) or Joint (FAO/WHO) Meeting on Pesticide Residues (JMPR). For totally new compounds the exposure is estimated based upon the manner in which the product is used, the amount used per annum and the residue data provided by the registrant.
The second calculation, which is used for programs that have generated statistically significant data, involves the estimation of potential health risk associated with the contamination levels of the food items included in the NCRMP. If the evaluation indicates insignificant long term health risk from such exposure the testing may be discontinued until there is a change in usage of the chemical which might effect the exposure estimates.
The data from the NCRMP is reviewed in a number of ways: